{"id":956,"date":"2021-11-08T13:04:32","date_gmt":"2021-11-08T13:04:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.spbinvest.hu\/?p=956"},"modified":"2021-11-08T13:28:38","modified_gmt":"2021-11-08T13:28:38","slug":"akar-75-szazalekkal-valtozhat-a-bitcoin-arfolyama","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.spbinvest.hu\/?p=956","title":{"rendered":"M\u00e9g id\u00e9n ak\u00e1r 75 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal v\u00e1ltozhat a bitcoin \u00e1rfolyama"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/section>\n
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T\u00f6rt\u00e9nt valami nemr\u00e9g az egyik legismertebb kriptovaluta, a bitcoin \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1ban, amire nem sokan figyeltek fel. Azt pedig m\u00e9g kevesebben tudj\u00e1k, hogy az augusztus 30-\u00e1n bek\u00f6vetkezett, \u00fagynevezett rejtett hal\u00e1lkereszt mekkora lehet\u0151s\u00e9get hordoz mag\u00e1ban. \u00a095 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos bizonyoss\u00e1ggal kijelenthet\u0151 ugyanis, hogy id\u00e9n december k\u00f6r\u00fcl jelent\u0151s m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben \u2013 ak\u00e1r 75 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal is \u2013 elmozdulhat a bitcoin \u00e1rfolyama. Hogy felfel\u00e9-e vagy lefel\u00e9, cikk\u00fcnkb\u0151l az is kider\u00fcl.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/strong>N\u00e9ha mindenf\u00e9le elemz\u00e9s n\u00e9lk\u00fcl is meg lehet mondani, hogy hol van a t\u0151zsdei euf\u00f3ri\u00e1k cs\u00facsa: ott, ahol az emberek m\u00e1r az \u00e1ll\u00e1sukat is feladj\u00e1k az\u00e9rt, hogy valamilyen term\u00e9kkel kereskedjenek \u2013 jelen esetben NFT-vel vagy dogecoin-nal. Azonban hi\u00e1ba az euf\u00f3rikus \u00e1lmok, a felfokozott \u00e9rzelmek, vagy a meggy\u0151z\u0151d\u00e9s, amelyek jelenleg a kriptopiacot \u00f6vezik, a piac ciklikus, \u00edgy az egyes szakaszok el\u0151bb-ut\u00f3bb lez\u00e1rulnak. Ha csak egy pillanatra is a felsz\u00edn al\u00e1 n\u00e9z\u00fcnk, \u00e9rdekes jeleket l\u00e1thatunk: k\u00f6zeleg a v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s.<\/p>\n

A bitcoin nem m\u00e1s, mint egy decentraliz\u00e1lt digit\u00e1lis fizet\u0151eszk\u00f6z, amely m\u00f6g\u00f6tt nincsen k\u00f6zponti kibocs\u00e1t\u00f3 rendszer. T\u00e1rol\u00e1sa \u00e9s l\u00e9trehoz\u00e1sa egyar\u00e1nt elektronikus \u00faton t\u00f6rt\u00e9nik, azaz a bitcoin nem k\u00e9zzelfoghat\u00f3. Emiatt teh\u00e1t nem nyomtat\u00e1ssal keletkezik, hanem sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00f3g\u00e9ppel b\u00e1ny\u00e1ssz\u00e1k, ami k\u00fcl\u00f6nb\u00f6z\u0151 feladatok megold\u00e1s\u00e1t jelenti egy ingyenes, ny\u00edlt forr\u00e1sk\u00f3d\u00fa szoftver seg\u00edts\u00e9g\u00e9vel. Ez a blockchain technol\u00f3gia adja a bitcoin fundamentum\u00e1t.\u00a0 A bitcoin tranzakci\u00f3 gyorsabb, mint egy nemzetk\u00f6zi \u00e1tutal\u00e1s (ami ak\u00e1r napokig is eltarthat), olcs\u00f3bb is, r\u00e1ad\u00e1sul a kiz\u00e1r\u00f3lagos tulajdonunkat k\u00e9pezi, arr\u00f3l nem is besz\u00e9lve, hogy nincs k\u00f6zponti hat\u00f3s\u00e1g ellen\u0151rz\u00e9se felette.<\/p>\n

A bitcoin egyes ciklusai 4 \u00e9vig tartanak, ezek lez\u00e1rult\u00e1val pedig felez\u0151dik a b\u00e1ny\u00e1szoknak j\u00e1r\u00f3 jutalom \u2013 ez ut\u00f3bbi jelenleg 6,25 bitcoin \u2013, \u00edgy 4 \u00e9vente fel\u00e9re cs\u00f6kken az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s r\u00e1ta is. A legut\u00f3bbi felez\u00e9s 2020. m\u00e1jus 11-\u00e9n volt, a legk\u00f6zelebbi 2024-ben lesz, amikor teh\u00e1t a b\u00e1ny\u00e1szok jutalma 3,125 bitcoinra fog cs\u00f6kkenni. \u00c9rthet\u0151 m\u00f3don azok, akik hatalmas bitcoin b\u00e1ny\u00e1sz farmokat \u00fczemeltetnek, nagyobb jutalmat kapnak a tev\u00e9kenys\u00e9g\u00fck\u00e9rt. \u00d6sszevetve ezt a limit\u00e1lt, 21 milli\u00f3 darabos bitcoin k\u00edn\u00e1lattal, minden felez\u00e9s egy hatalmas expanzi\u00f3t von maga ut\u00e1n. Egy ilyen ciklusnak fogunk most a k\u00f6zep\u00e9re \u00e9rni.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

1. \u00c1bra: Rejtett hal\u00e1lkereszt 2021.08.30.<\/em><\/p>\n

A technikai r\u00e9szhez visszakanyarodva azt l\u00e1thatjuk, hogy az \u00e1rfolyam elemz\u00e9s\u00e9re haszn\u00e1lt indik\u00e1torok k\u00fcl\u00f6nleges \u00e9s ritk\u00e1n el\u0151fordul\u00f3 v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1st produk\u00e1ltak a k\u00f6zelm\u00faltban. Mik\u00e9nt az a fenti \u00e1br\u00e1n is l\u00e1that\u00f3, augusztus 30-\u00e1n rejtett hal\u00e1lkereszt alakult ki, ami azt jelenti, hogy az elm\u00falt 50 heti exponenci\u00e1lisan mozg\u00f3 \u00e1tlag keresztezte az ugyanezen az id\u0151s\u00edkon sz\u00e1m\u00edtott egyszer\u0171 \u00e1tlagot.<\/p>\n

A bitcoin l\u00e9tez\u00e9se \u00f3ta mind\u00f6ssze nyolc alkalommal alakult ki rejtett hal\u00e1l- vagy aranykereszt. Ezek k\u00f6z\u00fcl n\u00e9gy rejtett hal\u00e1lkereszt ut\u00e1n szignifik\u00e1ns piaci visszaes\u00e9st, m\u00edg n\u00e9gy rejtett aranykereszt eset\u00e9ben dinamikus n\u00f6veked\u00e9st figyelhett\u00fcnk meg. A k\u00f6vetkez\u0151kben minden keresztet bemutatok.<\/p>\n

Az 1. t\u00e1bl\u00e1zatban a rejtett hal\u00e1lkereszt napj\u00e1nak \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1hoz viszony\u00edtjuk a korrekci\u00f3 m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
D\u00e1tum<\/strong><\/td>\nKorrekci\u00f3 m\u00e9rt\u00e9k<\/strong><\/td>\nKorrekci\u00f3 id\u0151tartam<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2011. Szeptember 26.<\/td>\n-60%<\/td>\n57 nap<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2014. J\u00falius 07<\/td>\n-73%<\/td>\n192 nap<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2018. M\u00e1jus 28.<\/td>\n-62%<\/td>\n202 nap<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2020. Febru\u00e1r 24.<\/td>\n-61%<\/td>\n19 nap<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2021. Augusztus 30.<\/td>\n\u2026.<\/td>\n\u2026.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

1. T\u00e1bl\u00e1zat: Rejtett hal\u00e1lkeresztek<\/em><\/p>\n

Az eddigi rejtett hal\u00e1lkeresztek relat\u00edv gyakoris\u00e1ga 100% \u00e9s \u00e1tlagosan 64%-os visszaes\u00e9ssel sz\u00e1molhatunk, melyek \u00e1tlagosan 117 napig tartanak.<\/p>\n

A 2. t\u00e1bl\u00e1zatban felsorolt rejtett aranykeresztekn\u00e9l szint\u00e9n a kereszt napj\u00e1n kialakult \u00e1rfolyamhoz m\u00e9rj\u00fck az expanzi\u00f3 m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
D\u00e1tum<\/td>\nExpanzi\u00f3 m\u00e9rt\u00e9k<\/td>\nKorrekci\u00f3 id\u0151tartam<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2012. J\u00falius 16.<\/td>\n16.890%<\/td>\n53 nap<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2015. J\u00falius 20.<\/td>\n7.192%<\/td>\n882 nap<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2019. \u00c1prilis 29.<\/td>\n179%<\/td>\n59 nap<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2020. Augusztus 3.<\/td>\n531%<\/td>\n255 nap<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

2.T\u00e1bl\u00e1zat: Rejtett aranykeresztek<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Hogy mi a konkl\u00fazi\u00f3 mindebb\u0151l? <\/strong><\/p>\n

A 2021. augusztus 30-\u00e1n t\u00f6rt\u00e9nt rejtett hal\u00e1lkereszt a sz\u00f3r\u00e1si intervallumok alapj\u00e1n 95%-os megb\u00edzhat\u00f3s\u00e1ggal egy jelent\u0151s, 54% \u00e9s 75% k\u00f6z\u00f6tti visszaes\u00e9st prognosztiz\u00e1l 2021 decembere k\u00f6r\u00fcl. Mik\u00e9nt m\u00e1r eml\u00edtettem, a ciklusok v\u00e1ltakozva ism\u00e9tl\u0151dnek, ez\u00e9rt a v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 visszaes\u00e9s egyben hatalmas lehet\u0151s\u00e9g is azok sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra, akik hossz\u00fa t\u00e1von szeretn\u00e9nek berakt\u00e1rozni, \u00e9s \u2013 hozz\u00e1m hasonl\u00f3an \u2013 potenci\u00e1lt l\u00e1tnak a kriptovalut\u00e1kban \u00e9s a m\u00f6g\u00f6tt\u00fck h\u00faz\u00f3d\u00f3 blockchain technol\u00f3gi\u00e1ban.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n

Szerz\u0151: Benes\u00f3czky Bal\u00e1zs, SPB Befektet\u00e9si Zrt.\u00a0 gyakornoka<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Fot\u00f3: Canva<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00f6rt\u00e9nt valami nemr\u00e9g az egyik legismertebb kriptovaluta, a bitcoin \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1ban, amire nem sokan figyeltek fel. Azt pedig m\u00e9g kevesebben tudj\u00e1k, hogy az augusztus 30-\u00e1n bek\u00f6vetkezett, \u00fagynevezett rejtett hal\u00e1lkereszt mekkora lehet\u0151s\u00e9get hordoz mag\u00e1ban. \u00a095 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos bizonyoss\u00e1ggal kijelenthet\u0151 ugyanis, hogy id\u00e9n december k\u00f6r\u00fcl jelent\u0151s m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben \u2013 ak\u00e1r 75 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal is \u2013 elmozdulhat a bitcoin \u00e1rfolyama. Hogy felfel\u00e9-e…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":951,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,5,25,2,24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-956","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kotveny","category-lifestyle","category-makro","category-reszveny","category-spb"],"yoast_head":"\nM\u00e9g id\u00e9n ak\u00e1r 75 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal v\u00e1ltozhat a bitcoin \u00e1rfolyama - SPB Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"T\u00f6rt\u00e9nt valami nemr\u00e9g az egyik legismertebb kriptovaluta, a bitcoin \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1ban, amire nem sokan figyeltek fel.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.spbinvest.hu\/?p=956\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hu_HU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"M\u00e9g id\u00e9n ak\u00e1r 75 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal v\u00e1ltozhat a bitcoin \u00e1rfolyama - 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