{"id":940,"date":"2021-10-25T13:22:07","date_gmt":"2021-10-25T13:22:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.spbinvest.hu\/?p=940"},"modified":"2021-10-25T13:22:07","modified_gmt":"2021-10-25T13:22:07","slug":"kina-szembemegy-a-globalis-trendekkel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.spbinvest.hu\/?p=940","title":{"rendered":"J\u00f6v\u0151re lassulhat vil\u00e1gszinten az \u00e1remelked\u00e9s – K\u00edna szembemegy a glob\u00e1lis trendekkel"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Nem magyar saj\u00e1toss\u00e1g a hazai n\u00f6vekv\u0151 infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s k\u00f6rnyezet. Nyugat-Eur\u00f3p\u00e1ban 3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k k\u00f6r\u00fcli az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 de \u00c9szak-Amerik\u00e1ban 5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k feletti infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s kock\u00e1zatot j\u00f3solnak az elemz\u0151k. K\u00edna nem szigor\u00edt, hossz\u00fat\u00e1von egy gazdas\u00e1g\u00e9l\u00e9nk\u00edt\u0151 csomag v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 az \u00e1zsiai orsz\u00e1gban. Komoly piaci l\u00f6k\u00e9st adott az ESG min\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9s\u0171 k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyeknek az MNB N\u00f6veked\u00e9si K\u00f6tv\u00e9nyprogramja.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

J\u00f6v\u0151re normaliz\u00e1l\u00f3dhat az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3<\/h2>\n

Nem magyar saj\u00e1toss\u00e1g a hazai n\u00f6vekv\u0151 infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s k\u00f6rnyezet. A szeptemberi infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s adat 5 \u00e9s f\u00e9l sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kot mutatott. A nyugat-eur\u00f3pai \u00e9rt\u00e9k kicsit alacsonyabb, ott 3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k k\u00f6r\u00fcli infl\u00e1ci\u00f3t lehet l\u00e1tni, de\u00c9szak-Amerik\u00e1ban 5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k feletti infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s kock\u00e1zatot val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00edtenek az elemz\u0151k.<\/span>\u00cdgy a vil\u00e1g jegybankjai sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra fel van adva a lecke. Jelenleg a jegybankok azt kommunik\u00e1lj\u00e1k, hogy ez egy \u00e1tmeneti jelleg\u0171 jelens\u00e9g \u00e9sj\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9v m\u00e1sodik fel\u00e9re visszat\u00e9rhet az \u00e1remelked\u00e9s a kor\u00e1bbi \u00e1ltaluk megfelel\u0151nek \u00edt\u00e9lt c\u00e9l\u00e9rt\u00e9k s\u00e1vba<\/span>\u2013 hangzott el a Sovereign Private Banking (SPB) Befektet\u00e9si Zrt. online konferenci\u00e1j\u00e1n.<\/p>\n

A priv\u00e1tbanki szak\u00e9rt\u0151k jelenleg \u00fagy v\u00e9lik, hogy az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3val mindenk\u00e9ppen foglalkoznia kell a jegybankoknak. A jegybankok szigor\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1ra, a k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyv\u00e1s\u00e1rl\u00e1si programok visszafog\u00e1s\u00e1ra \u00e9s 2022-ben a FED kamatemel\u00e9s\u00e9re is lehet sz\u00e1m\u00edtani v\u00e9lem\u00e9ny\u00fck szerint.<\/p>\n

\"\"Forint \u2013 Euro \u00e1rfolyam alakul\u00e1sa; Forr\u00e1s: SPB Befektet\u00e9si Zrt.<\/h6>\n

K\u00edna szembe megy a trendekkel<\/h2>\n

K\u00edn\u00e1ban jelenleg l\u00e1tsz\u00f3lag szembe mennek ezekkel a glob\u00e1lis trendekkel. Az \u00e1zsiai orsz\u00e1g hamarabb kil\u00e1balt a pand\u00e9mia okozta v\u00e1ls\u00e1gb\u00f3l \u00e9s nagyon dinamikus n\u00f6veked\u00e9snek indult a gazdas\u00e1ga. Most ez lassulni l\u00e1tszik, \u00edgyK\u00edn\u00e1ban ink\u00e1bb az a k\u00e9rd\u00e9s, hogy meddig fogj\u00e1k engedni ezt a lassul\u00e1st.<\/span>\u00cdgy r\u00e9sz\u00fckr\u0151l ink\u00e1bb egy gazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9l\u00e9nk\u00edt\u0151 csomag v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 a k\u00f6zelj\u00f6v\u0151ben, ak\u00e1r monet\u00e1ris, ak\u00e1r fisk\u00e1lis oldalon \u2013 tudtuk meg a webin\u00e1riumon.<\/p>\n

Nyugtalan\u00edt\u00f3 h\u00edrek \u00c1zsi\u00e1b\u00f3l<\/h2>\n

A geopolitikai kock\u00e1zatokat is figyelembe kell venni a befektet\u00e9sek sor\u00e1n. Az \u00e1zsiai t\u00e9rs\u00e9gr\u0151l az SPB-t\u0151l is t\u00f6bben k\u00e9rtek tan\u00e1csot az elm\u00falt id\u0151szakban. \u00c1zsi\u00e1n bel\u00fcl k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen koncentr\u00e1ltak K\u00edn\u00e1ra \u00e9s a k\u00ednai tech v\u00e1llalatokra. Sok\u00e1ig nagyon j\u00f3k voltak a kil\u00e1t\u00e1sok, azt\u00e1nt\u00f6bb nyugtalan\u00edt\u00f3 h\u00edr is \u00e9rkezett arr\u00f3l, hogy a k\u00ednai \u00e1llam ny\u00edltan, direkt m\u00f3don sz\u00e1ll bele mag\u00e1n c\u00e9gek \u00fczleti strukt\u00far\u00e1j\u00e1ba.<\/span>Ennek nagyon rossz \u00fczenete volt. A t\u0151keki\u00e1raml\u00e1s meg is kezd\u0151d\u00f6tt ennek hat\u00e1s\u00e1ra az idei \u00e9v els\u0151 fel\u00e9ben. Most eljutottunk oda, hogy a pr\u00e9mium \u00fczlet\u00e1gban gyakorlatilag m\u00e1r alig tarthat\u00f3 k\u00ednai kitetts\u00e9g.Viszont K\u00edn\u00e1t elfelejteni nem lehet, \u00e9s amint konszolid\u00e1l\u00f3dik a helyzet \u00e9rdemes visszat\u00e9rni erre a piacra.<\/span>A fundamentumok j\u00f3k, de a jelenlegi piaci k\u00f6rnyezet nem el\u00e9g t\u00e1mogat\u00f3 \u2013 tudtuk meg.<\/p>\n

Enyh\u00fcl\u0151 g\u00e1z\u00e1r kr\u00edzis<\/h2>\n

Ir\u00e1n \u00e9s Oroszorsz\u00e1g is magukkal hordoznak geopolitikai kock\u00e1zatokat a befektet\u00e9sek ter\u00e9n. Ezek is befoly\u00e1solj\u00e1k a piacokat. Itthonr\u00f3l n\u00e9zve az Oroszorsz\u00e1ggal kapcsolatos folyamatok kifejezetten fontosak.Eur\u00f3p\u00e1ban nemr\u00e9g egy g\u00e1z\u00e1r kr\u00edzis kezdett kibontakozni, most az oroszok kommunik\u00e1ci\u00f3ja nyom\u00e1n ez kicsit enyh\u00fclni l\u00e1tszik.<\/span>Ez a kock\u00e1zat \u00e9rintheti a befektet\u00e9seket \u2013 v\u00e9lik a szak\u00e9rt\u0151k.<\/p>\n

Megt\u00e9veszt\u0151 ESG min\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9s<\/h2>\n

A befektet\u00e9sek ter\u00e9n a hagyom\u00e1nyos fogalmak mellett \u00fajabban bevezet\u00e9sre ker\u00fclt az ESG azaz Environmental, Social and Governance min\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9si rendszer, ami alapj\u00e1n a p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi szakemberek fenntarthat\u00f3s\u00e1gi szempontok alapj\u00e1n rangsorolj\u00e1k a gazdas\u00e1gi szervezeteket \u00e9s a hozz\u00e1juk kapcsol\u00f3d\u00f3 befektet\u00e9seket. Ezzel kapcsolatban m\u00e9ggyakori, hogy az \u00fcgyf\u00e9l nem ugyanazt \u00e9rti a fenntarthat\u00f3s\u00e1g alatt, mint amit a val\u00f3s\u00e1gban az ESG min\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9s takar.<\/span>Jelenleg t\u00f6bb ezer olyan ESG min\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9s\u0171 k\u00f6tv\u00e9ny kering a piacon ami nem olyan k\u00f6rnyezetbar\u00e1t, mint azt a befektet\u0151 szeretn\u00e9. A szak\u00e9rt\u0151k feladata most a kutat\u00e1s, elemz\u00e9s, hogy min\u00e9l nagyobb biztons\u00e1ggal tudjanak megfelel\u0151 befektet\u00e9st aj\u00e1nlani az \u00fcgyfeleknek \u2013 hangzott el.<\/p>\n

Az ESG min\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9s \u00fajnak hathat, mertaz elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben egyre t\u00f6bben haszn\u00e1lj\u00e1k, de val\u00f3j\u00e1ban el\u00e9g r\u00e9g\u00f3ta, 4 \u00e9ve vel\u00fcnk van.<\/span>Viszont a z\u00f6ldk\u00f6tv\u00e9ny kibocs\u00e1t\u00e1s m\u00e9g mindig gyerekcip\u0151ben j\u00e1r \u2013 v\u00e9lik a szak\u00e9rt\u0151k.<\/p>\n

\"\"Folyamatosan n\u0151 az ESG min\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9s\u0171 k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyek kibocs\u00e1t\u00e1sa; Forr\u00e1s: SPB Befektet\u00e9si Zrt.<\/h6>\n

L\u00f6k\u00e9st adott a piacnak az MNB<\/h2>\n

Ezen a t\u00e9ren a hazai piacnak komoly l\u00f6k\u00e9st adott a 2019-ben elindult N\u00f6veked\u00e9si K\u00f6tv\u00e9nyprogramja a Magyar Nemzeti Banknak. Ennek keret\u00e9ben mostanra eljutottunk oda, hogyk\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 600 milli\u00e1rd forint \u00e9rt\u00e9kben bocs\u00e1tottak ki hazai v\u00e1llalatok is fenntarthat\u00f3s\u00e1gi szempontokat figyelembe v\u00e9ve k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyeket.<\/span>A jegybank ezeknek m\u00e9g a jegyz\u00e9skor 60-70 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t megv\u00e1s\u00e1rolta \u00edgy egyenl\u0151re nem alakult ki tart\u00f3san likvid m\u00e1sodpiaca az ilyen k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyeknek \u2013 hangzott el. Aki ilyen befektet\u00e9st keres jelenleg m\u00e9g \u00e9rdemes a k\u00fclf\u00f6ldi doll\u00e1r, vagy eur\u00f3 alap\u00fa k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyek k\u00f6z\u00f6tt is \u2013 tan\u00e1csolj\u00e1k a szak\u00e9rt\u0151k.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Forr\u00e1s: https:\/\/novekedes.hu\/elemzesek\/nem-egyedi-a-magyar-inflacio-kina-szembe-megy-a-globalis-trendekkel<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nem magyar saj\u00e1toss\u00e1g a hazai n\u00f6vekv\u0151 infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s k\u00f6rnyezet. Nyugat-Eur\u00f3p\u00e1ban 3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k k\u00f6r\u00fcli az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 de \u00c9szak-Amerik\u00e1ban 5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k feletti infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s kock\u00e1zatot j\u00f3solnak az elemz\u0151k. K\u00edna nem szigor\u00edt, hossz\u00fat\u00e1von egy gazdas\u00e1g\u00e9l\u00e9nk\u00edt\u0151 csomag v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 az \u00e1zsiai orsz\u00e1gban. Komoly piaci l\u00f6k\u00e9st adott az ESG min\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9s\u0171 k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyeknek az MNB N\u00f6veked\u00e9si K\u00f6tv\u00e9nyprogramja. J\u00f6v\u0151re normaliz\u00e1l\u00f3dhat az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 Nem magyar saj\u00e1toss\u00e1g a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":941,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,5,25,2,24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-940","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kotveny","category-lifestyle","category-makro","category-reszveny","category-spb"],"yoast_head":"\nJ\u00f6v\u0151re lassulhat vil\u00e1gszinten az \u00e1remelked\u00e9s - K\u00edna szembemegy a glob\u00e1lis trendekkel - SPB Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nem magyar saj\u00e1toss\u00e1g a hazai n\u00f6vekv\u0151 infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s k\u00f6rnyezet - hangzott el a Sovereign Private Banking (SPB) Befektet\u00e9si Zrt. online konferenci\u00e1j\u00e1n.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.spbinvest.hu\/?p=940\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hu_HU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"J\u00f6v\u0151re lassulhat vil\u00e1gszinten az \u00e1remelked\u00e9s - 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