{"id":923,"date":"2021-10-21T11:44:37","date_gmt":"2021-10-21T11:44:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.spbinvest.hu\/?p=923"},"modified":"2021-10-21T12:07:01","modified_gmt":"2021-10-21T12:07:01","slug":"iden-sem-varhato-jelentosebb-forinterosodes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.spbinvest.hu\/?p=923","title":{"rendered":"SPB: id\u00e9n nem v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 jelent\u0151sebb forinter\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9s"},"content":{"rendered":"
Az aktu\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9s piaci t\u00f6rt\u00e9n\u00e9sekr\u0151l tartott online esem\u00e9nyt az SPB Befektet\u00e9si Zrt. A szak\u00e9rt\u0151k t\u00f6bbek k\u00f6z\u00f6tt arr\u00f3l besz\u00e9ltek, hogy ha k\u00f6tv\u00e9nypiac, akkor \u00e9rdemes k\u00f6r\u00fcln\u00e9zni az energiapiacon tev\u00e9kenyked\u0151 c\u00e9gek pap\u00edrjai k\u00f6z\u00f6tt, de a v\u00e1ltoz\u00f3 kamatoz\u00e1s\u00fa k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyek is j\u00f3l teljes\u00edthetnek emelked\u0151 hozamk\u00f6rnyezetben. A forint kapcs\u00e1n egyel\u0151re nem l\u00e1tszik \u00e9rdemi er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9si potenci\u00e1l, de a j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9v hozhat ebben is v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1st.<\/section>\n
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K\u00f6tv\u00e9nypiacok<\/h3>\n

Kalapos Csaba, az SPB Private Banking igazgat\u00f3ja<\/strong>\u00a0a k\u00f6tv\u00e9nypiac kapcs\u00e1n arr\u00f3l besz\u00e9lt, hogy tov\u00e1bbra is prefer\u00e1lj\u00e1k a k\u00fclf\u00f6ldi v\u00e1llalati k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyeket a befektet\u00e9si portf\u00f3li\u00f3kban, vannak azonban egyre n\u00f6vekv\u0151 kock\u00e1zatok, amelyekre reag\u00e1lni kell. Az egyedi befektet\u00e9si sztorik kapcs\u00e1n a jelenlegi energiav\u00e1ls\u00e1got, illetve az ezt kiakn\u00e1z\u00f3 k\u00f6tv\u00e9ny-befektet\u00e9si lehet\u0151s\u00e9geket is eml\u00edtette, ilyen lehet p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul a Gazprom k\u00f6tv\u00e9nye. A\u00a0v\u00e1ltoz\u00f3 kamatoz\u00e1s\u00fa k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyek<\/strong>\u00a0is j\u00f3l teljes\u00edthetnek \u2013 mutatott r\u00e1, f\u0151leg, ha megindul a hozamemelked\u00e9s a vil\u00e1gban.<\/p>\n

Kosovics L\u00e1szl\u00f3, pr\u00e9mium banki senior elemz\u0151<\/strong>\u00a0az akt\u00edv \u00e9s passz\u00edv befektet\u00e9sekr\u0151l besz\u00e9lt. A passz\u00edv befektet\u00e9sek az \u00fcgyf\u00e9lportf\u00f3li\u00f3kban f\u0151k\u00e9nt k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyek \u00e9s ETF-ek, ut\u00f3bbiak j\u00f3l diverzifik\u00e1ltan lek\u00f6vetik a glob\u00e1lis k\u00f6tv\u00e9nypiacot. Kiemelte\u00a0a p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi szektor j\u00f3 teljes\u00edtm\u00e9ny\u00e9t<\/strong>, \u00e9rdemes szerinte az amerikai p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi szektorra f\u00f3kusz\u00e1lni.<\/p>\n

MNB, kamatemel\u00e9s, forint<\/h3>\n

Kalapos szerint az e heti kamatemel\u00e9s m\u00e9rt\u00e9ke az elemz\u0151i konszenzust kicsit alulm\u00falta, ezt mutatta a forint gyeng\u00fcl\u00e9se is. A vil\u00e1g jegybankjainak fel van adva a lecke, b\u00e1r jelenleg mindenhol azt kommunik\u00e1lj\u00e1k, hogy a mostani infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s megugr\u00e1s csak \u00e1tmeneti. A Fed eset\u00e9ben hamarabb l\u00e1tszik a sz\u00e1nd\u00e9k a szigor\u00edt\u00e1s fel\u00e9 vezet\u0151 \u00fatra.<\/p>\n

Kosovics szerint el fogunk jutni a 365-\u00f6s szinthez is,\u00a0\u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9gig nem lesz \u00e9rdemi er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9s a magyar fizet\u0151eszk\u00f6zben<\/strong>, a j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9v viszont \u00e9rdekesebb lesz a konkr\u00e9t infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s adatok t\u00fckr\u00e9ben.<\/p>\n

ESG<\/h3>\n

Kosovics szerint pr\u00e9mium banki oldalon egyszer\u0171bb a helyzet, mivel sz\u00e1mos olyan ETF-et lehet el\u00e9rni, amely erre a h\u00e1rom bet\u0171sz\u00f3ra f\u00f3kusz\u00e1l. Ugyanakkor nem \u00e1rt a k\u00f6r\u00fcltekint\u00e9s, hiszen nem minden ESG-nek c\u00edmk\u00e9zett alap k\u00f6rnyezettudatos.<\/p>\n

Kalapos ezzel egyet\u00e9rtve elmondta,\u00a0nehezebb a priv\u00e1tbanki vonalon ezt a szeml\u00e9letet megval\u00f3s\u00edtani, hiszen az egyedi \u00e9rt\u00e9kpap\u00edr-szelekci\u00f3 domin\u00e1l<\/strong>. A z\u00f6ld k\u00f6tv\u00e9ny kibocs\u00e1t\u00e1s m\u00e9g gyerekcip\u0151ben j\u00e1r itthon, a N\u00f6veked\u00e9si K\u00f6tv\u00e9nyprogram l\u00e1that\u00f3 beindul\u00e1sa ellen\u00e9re is \u2013 tette hozz\u00e1. Itt m\u00e9g nem alakult ki tart\u00f3san likvid m\u00e1sodpiac, \u00edgy\u00a0\u00e9rdemes k\u00f6r\u00fcln\u00e9zni a k\u00fclf\u00f6ldi, eur\u00f3s \u00e9s doll\u00e1ros k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyek piac\u00e1n<\/strong>\u00a0is annak, aki z\u00f6ld k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyeket keres.<\/p>\n

Geopolitikai kock\u00e1zatok<\/h3>\n

Kosovics szerint a k\u00ednai piacon j\u00f3 \u00e9rt\u00e9kelts\u00e9ggel b\u00edr\u00f3 v\u00e1llalatokba lehetett befektetni mindaddig, am\u00edg a k\u00ednai korm\u00e1ny \u00fagy nem d\u00f6nt\u00f6tt, hogy belesz\u00f3l mag\u00e1nc\u00e9gek tev\u00e9kenys\u00e9g\u00e9be. Emiatt a pr\u00e9mium \u00fczlet\u00e1gban jelenleg nem aj\u00e1nlj\u00e1k ezeket a befektet\u00e9seket az \u00fcgyfeleknek, de ett\u0151l m\u00e9g nem szabad K\u00edn\u00e1t elfelejteni. Amint normaliz\u00e1l\u00f3dik a helyzet, \u00e9rdemes lesz \u00fajra befektet\u00e9si lehet\u0151s\u00e9g ut\u00e1n kutatni a t\u00e9rs\u00e9gben \u2013 mondta.<\/p>\n

Kalapos szerint a lok\u00e1lis geopolitikai g\u00f3cpontok k\u00f6z\u00fcl kiemelte Oroszorsz\u00e1g \u00e9s az EU k\u00f6z\u00f6tt h\u00faz\u00f3d\u00f3 fesz\u00fclts\u00e9get, leg\u00fajabban a g\u00e1zkr\u00edzis r\u00e9me miatt. Igyekeznek olyan eszk\u00f6z\u00f6ket tal\u00e1lni, amelyek erre \u00fct\u00e9s\u00e1ll\u00f3nak bizonyulnak, ilyen lehet a Gazprom k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyeibe val\u00f3 befektet\u00e9s.<\/p>\n

L\u00e9git\u00e1rsas\u00e1gok<\/h3>\n

A szak\u00e9rt\u0151k szerint az, hogy az emberek \u00fajra elkezdtek utazni, l\u00f6k\u00e9st adhat ennek a szektornak is. Igaz, ennek a fellend\u00fcl\u00e9snek az \u00fcteme nem olyan gyors, ahogyan azt kor\u00e1bban sokan v\u00e1rt\u00e1k. K\u00f6z\u00e9p-hossz\u00fa t\u00e1von viszont \u00e9rdemes a l\u00e9git\u00e1rsas\u00e1gokkal foglalkozni, nem szabad azonban megfeledkezni az emelked\u0151 olaj\u00e1rakr\u00f3l. \u00c9rdemes lehet az eur\u00f3pai l\u00e9git\u00e1rsas\u00e1gokkal szemben az amerikai t\u00e1rsaikat el\u0151nyben r\u00e9szes\u00edteni, mivel ott sokkal jobb a t\u00e1rsas\u00e1gok p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi helyzete \u2013 mutattak r\u00e1.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Forr\u00e1s: https:\/\/www.portfolio.hu\/befektetes\/20211021\/spb-iden-nem-varhato-jelentosebb-forinterosodes-506452<\/p>\n

Fot\u00f3: Getty Images<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Az aktu\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9s piaci t\u00f6rt\u00e9n\u00e9sekr\u0151l tartott online esem\u00e9nyt az SPB Befektet\u00e9si Zrt. A szak\u00e9rt\u0151k t\u00f6bbek k\u00f6z\u00f6tt arr\u00f3l besz\u00e9ltek, hogy ha k\u00f6tv\u00e9nypiac, akkor \u00e9rdemes k\u00f6r\u00fcln\u00e9zni az energiapiacon tev\u00e9kenyked\u0151 c\u00e9gek pap\u00edrjai k\u00f6z\u00f6tt, de a v\u00e1ltoz\u00f3 kamatoz\u00e1s\u00fa k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyek is j\u00f3l teljes\u00edthetnek emelked\u0151 hozamk\u00f6rnyezetben. A forint kapcs\u00e1n egyel\u0151re nem l\u00e1tszik \u00e9rdemi er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9si potenci\u00e1l, de a j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9v hozhat…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":926,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,5,25,2,24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-923","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kotveny","category-lifestyle","category-makro","category-reszveny","category-spb"],"yoast_head":"\nSPB: id\u00e9n nem v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 jelent\u0151sebb forinter\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9s - SPB Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Az SPB Befektet\u00e9si Zrt. 2021-ben \u00fcnnepli a 21. sz\u00fclet\u00e9snapj\u00e1t - ennek kapcs\u00e1n elind\u00edtjuk online esem\u00e9ny-sorozatunkat.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.spbinvest.hu\/?p=923\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hu_HU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"SPB: id\u00e9n nem v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 jelent\u0151sebb forinter\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9s - 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