{"id":1602,"date":"2022-11-22T15:15:48","date_gmt":"2022-11-22T15:15:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.spbinvest.hu\/?p=1602"},"modified":"2022-11-22T15:15:48","modified_gmt":"2022-11-22T15:15:48","slug":"lesz-e-iden-is-mikulas-rali","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.spbinvest.hu\/?p=1602","title":{"rendered":"Lesz-e id\u00e9n is Mikul\u00e1s-rali?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Az \u00e9v v\u00e9ge fel\u00e9 k\u00f6zeledve a befektet\u0151k egyre izgatottabban v\u00e1rj\u00e1k a Mikul\u00e1s-ralinak h\u00edvott jelens\u00e9get, amikor \u2013 az esetek t\u00f6bb mint 75 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1ban legal\u00e1bbis \u2013, er\u0151sen pozit\u00edv teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nyt tapasztalhatunk a vil\u00e1g t\u0151zsd\u00e9in. Az ez ir\u00e1ny\u00fa v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sok nagyj\u00e1b\u00f3l m\u00e1r az eg\u00e9sz decemberi keresked\u00e9si id\u0151szakot \u00e1tj\u00e1rj\u00e1k, de az igazi sz\u00e1rnyal\u00e1s jellemz\u0151en az \u00f3\u00e9v utols\u00f3 5-10, illetve az \u00faj \u00e9v els\u0151 p\u00e1r napj\u00e1ra koncentr\u00e1l\u00f3dik.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A Mikul\u00e1s-rali kialakul\u00e1s\u00e1nak sz\u00e1mos oka van. Ezek k\u00f6z\u00fcl kiemelhet\u0151 az a t\u00e9ny, hogy az alapkezel\u0151k ebben az id\u0151szakban er\u0151sen \u00e9rdekeltt\u00e9 v\u00e1lnak abban, hogy \u00e9ves teljes\u00edtm\u00e9ny\u00fcket megpr\u00f3b\u00e1lj\u00e1k m\u00e9g feljebb torn\u00e1zni. Erre kit\u0171n\u0151 a decemberi id\u0151szak, amikor a szabads\u00e1gol\u00e1sok miatt m\u00e1r visszaesik a befektet\u0151i aktivit\u00e1s, \u00edgy relat\u00edve kisebb \u00f6sszegekkel lehet pozit\u00edv ir\u00e1nyba tolni az ir\u00e1nyad\u00f3 indexeket. Seg\u00edti m\u00e9g a jelens\u00e9g kialakul\u00e1s\u00e1t az \u00e9v v\u00e9gi ad\u00f3optimaliz\u00e1l\u00e1si hull\u00e1m is, emellett az \u00e9ves b\u00f3nuszok egy r\u00e9sze is a t\u0151zsd\u00e9ken landol, illetve nem elhanyagolhat\u00f3 ok m\u00e9g a t\u00e9li id\u0151szakokban rendre igen j\u00f3l teljes\u00edt\u0151 energiaszektor teljes\u00edtm\u00e9ny\u00e9nek pozit\u00edv hat\u00e1sa sem.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Az idei Mikul\u00e1s-rali azonban er\u0151sen f\u00fcgg a makrogazdas\u00e1gi adatokt\u00f3l is. Amennyiben az amerikai infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 a novemberi adat alapj\u00e1n tov\u00e1bbra is tartja a t\u00f6bb h\u00f3napja tart\u00f3 visszaes\u0151 tendenci\u00e1t, \u00fagy id\u00e9n december v\u00e9g\u00e9n is bor\u00edt\u00e9kolhat\u00f3 a j\u00f3 hangulat. Ennek m\u00e9rt\u00e9ke ugyanakkor jelent\u0151sen elt\u00e9rhet a f\u0151bb piacokon. Eur\u00f3pa v\u00e9lhet\u0151en csakis a glob\u00e1lis kock\u00e1zatv\u00e1llal\u00e1si hajland\u00f3s\u00e1g ok\u00e1n mutathat jobb teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nyt, az \u00f6reg kontinens er\u0151sen lecs\u00f6kkent versenyk\u00e9pess\u00e9g\u00e9nek helyre\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1ra ugyanis egyel\u0151re nem kaptunk megnyugtat\u00f3 terveket. K\u00edn\u00e1t illet\u0151en pedig \u00e9rezhet\u0151 ugyan egyfajta fokoz\u00f3d\u00f3 befektet\u0151i aktivit\u00e1s, de a t\u00e9li id\u0151szak j\u00e1rv\u00e1nyvesz\u00e9lye, tov\u00e1bb\u00e1 a region\u00e1lis geopolitikai fesz\u00fclts\u00e9g tov\u00e1bbra is visszafogja a v\u00e9teli kedvet. B\u00e1r Amerika szint\u00e9n t\u00f6bb sebb\u0151l v\u00e9rzik, kedvez\u0151 csillagzat eset\u00e9n a tengerent\u00falon val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00edthet\u0151 legnagyobb es\u00e9llyel egy komolyabb emelked\u00e9s.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az \u00e9v v\u00e9ge fel\u00e9 k\u00f6zeledve a befektet\u0151k egyre izgatottabban v\u00e1rj\u00e1k a Mikul\u00e1s-ralinak h\u00edvott jelens\u00e9get, amikor \u2013 az esetek t\u00f6bb mint 75 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1ban legal\u00e1bbis \u2013, er\u0151sen pozit\u00edv teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nyt tapasztalhatunk a vil\u00e1g t\u0151zsd\u00e9in. Az ez ir\u00e1ny\u00fa v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sok nagyj\u00e1b\u00f3l m\u00e1r az eg\u00e9sz decemberi keresked\u00e9si id\u0151szakot \u00e1tj\u00e1rj\u00e1k, de az igazi sz\u00e1rnyal\u00e1s jellemz\u0151en az \u00f3\u00e9v utols\u00f3 5-10, illetve az \u00faj&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1604,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1602","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-egyeb"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Lesz-e id\u00e9n is Mikul\u00e1s-rali? - SPB Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.spbinvest.hu\/?p=1602\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hu_HU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Lesz-e id\u00e9n is Mikul\u00e1s-rali? - SPB Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Az \u00e9v v\u00e9ge fel\u00e9 k\u00f6zeledve a befektet\u0151k egyre izgatottabban v\u00e1rj\u00e1k a Mikul\u00e1s-ralinak h\u00edvott jelens\u00e9get, amikor \u2013 az esetek t\u00f6bb mint 75 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1ban legal\u00e1bbis \u2013, er\u0151sen pozit\u00edv teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nyt tapasztalhatunk a vil\u00e1g t\u0151zsd\u00e9in. 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